Feeling terrible for my UK friends. Some worked hard campaigning for Labour; many will be harmed by the policies of the victorious Tories.
Jeremy Corbyn and Hillary Clinton don't have a lot in common. But the common lesson of their defeats is: don't run a candidate with net favorability polling deeply in the negative. Corbyn is at -30 while Johnson is at -14; Clinton and Trump both were around -13 on election day. I don't trust unmoored electability speculation, but poll results are good at simulating election outcomes.
A great deal of this isn't Corbyn or Clinton's fault. The media deserves plenty of blame. But part of winning modern elections is interacting well with whatever twisted media dynamics haunt your era. When that isn't going well for a candidate, as measured by polling averages, the party needs to find someone else.
Jeremy Corbyn and Hillary Clinton don't have a lot in common. But the common lesson of their defeats is: don't run a candidate with net favorability polling deeply in the negative. Corbyn is at -30 while Johnson is at -14; Clinton and Trump both were around -13 on election day. I don't trust unmoored electability speculation, but poll results are good at simulating election outcomes.
A great deal of this isn't Corbyn or Clinton's fault. The media deserves plenty of blame. But part of winning modern elections is interacting well with whatever twisted media dynamics haunt your era. When that isn't going well for a candidate, as measured by polling averages, the party needs to find someone else.
